Based on the Risk Assessment Map by the Davao City Covid-19 Operations Center dated January 29, the number of high risk barangays has climbed to 20 from three barangays last week, while critical risk barangays climbed to 105 from 74.
The 105 “critical risk” villages are Barangays 1-A, 2-A, 5-A, 6-A, 7-A, 8-A, 9-A, 10-A, 11-B, 13-B, 14-B, 15-B, 17-B, 18-B, 19-B, 20-B, 21-C, 22-C, 23-C, 24-C, 25-C, 26-C, 27-C, 28-C, 30-C, 31-D, 34-D, 35-D, 36-D, 37-D, 38-D, 39-D, A. Angliongto, Sr., Acacia (Buhangin), Agdao Proper, Angalan, Bago Aplaya, Bago Gallera, Baliok, Bangkas Heights, Bato (Toril), Biao Escuela, Binugao, Bucana, Buhangin Proper, Bunawan Proper, Cabantian, Cadalian, Calinan Proper, Carmen (Baguio), Catalunan Grande, Catalunan Pequeño, Cawayan (Calinan), Centro (San Juan, Agdao), Communal, Crossing Bayabas, Daliao, Dumoy, Gov. Paciano Bangoy (Agdao), Gov. Vicente Duterte (Agdao), Gumalang, Ilang, Indangan, Kap. Monteverde, Sr. (Agdao), Lacson (Calinan), Langub, Lapu-lapu, (Agdao), Leon Garcia, Sr., Lizada (Toril), Los Amigos, Lubogan, Maa, Magtuod, Malagos, Mandug, Marapangi, Matina Aplaya, Matina Crossing, Matina Pangi, Mintal, Mulig, Pampanga, Paquibato Proper, Rafael Castillo, Riverside (Calinan), San Antonio (Agdao), Sasa, Sirawan, Sto. Niño (Tugbok), Subasta, Tacunan, Talandang, Talomo Proper, Talomo River, Tamayong, Tamugan, Tigatto, Toril Proper, Tugbok Proper, Tungkalan, Ubalde, V. Hizon, Sr., Wangan, Wilfredo Aquino, and Wines.
All of these critical risk barangays have a high two-week growth rate (2WGR) and average daily attack rate (Adar) but Barangay Binugao has the highest 2WGR at 2,600.00 with a 23.93 Adar, followed by Barangay 6-A with 2,400.00 2WGR and a 73.73 Adar, and Barangay Marapangi with a 2WGR of 2,000.00 and an Adar of 18.74.
The “high risk” villages are Barangays 3-A, 4-A, 12-B, 16-B, 29-C, 32-D, 33-D, 40-D, Bago Oshiro, Callawa, Dacudao (Calinan), Eden, Lasang, Mahayag, Manuel, Guianga, Mudiang, New Carmen, Panacan, Tibungco, and Ula.
These barangays have a medium 2WGR classification and a high Adar, except for Barangay Callawa that has a high 2WGR and a medium Adar.
Barangay 32-D has the highest 2WGR at 185.71 and a 61.92 Adar. Barangay Panacan followed close with a 180.22 2WGR and a 43.77 Adar, while Barangay Bago Oshiro has a 171.43 2WGR and a 9.79 Adar.
The 2WGR measures the growth of Covid-19 in the area while the Adar is the average of new cases per 100,00 persons.
Both are parameters set by the Covid-19 Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management of Emerging Infectious Diseases (IATF-EMD) to determine how fast the infection spreads in a certain area.
The number of high risk barangays in close proximity to critical risk barangays has also climbed.
As of January 29, there are 18 barangays, including Balengaeng, Baracatan, Bayabas (Toril), Biao Guianga, Biao Joaquin, Daliaon Plantation, Gatungan, Kilate, Lumiad, Malabog, Manambulan, Pañalum, Pangyan, Paradise Embak, San Isidro/Licanan, Suawan (Tuli), Tagluno, and Tagurano.
The risk assessment list also identified 18 moderate risk barangays composed of Alambre (Toril), Baganihan, Baguio Proper, Bantol, Buda, Camansi, Catigan, Marilog Proper, Matina, Biao, Megkawayan, New Valencia, Salaysay, Sirib, Tagakpan, Tambobong, Tawan-tawan, Tibuloy, and Waan.
While moderate risk barangays in close proximity to high risk barangays include Barangays Fatima (Benowang) and Lampianao.
Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio said in a radio interview on Monday, January 31, that it is possible for all barangays to be under critical risk or high risk.
“Hypothetically possible na siya kung tanan barangays naay infection and duna silay cases didto of Covid-19 because as we have all seen, paspas makatakdo ang omicron variant (Hypothetically, it’s possible for all barangays to be critical or high risk if all of them have infection or Covid-19 cases because, as we have all seen, the Omicron variant is very contagious),” she said.
In previous interviews, the mayor assured that the City Government will only impose granular lockdowns per household or establishment, rather than total lockdowns of barangays or areas under critical risk or higher.
Davao City Covid-19 Task Force spokesperson Dr. Michelle Schlosser also said the implementation of the granular lockdowns will help balance the health and economy sector of the city.
“As of the moment, do not expect a lockdown, total lockdown because we are trying to make sure that both areas thrive, ang economy and atong health,” said Schlosser during an interview on January 26.
The Davao local government emphasized that travel to areas classified as high and critical risk is strongly discouraged, unless for work, business, or emergency situations.
